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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Aussie Report Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
The national weather outlook for the coming week shows a hot and dry pattern across southern Australia, with daytime temperatures 2–4°C above average, while the northern tropics experience increased shower and thunderstorm activity. This setup is driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Bight and a Monsoon trough lingering near the Top End.
What are the key temperature and rainfall trends?
Maximums in Adelaide and Melbourne are forecast to reach 33–37°C through Thursday, before a weak cool change drops them by 5–8°C by Friday. Sydney’s 14 day weather forecast indicates a mix of warm, dry days with occasional coastal showers—temperatures hovering around 28–31°C. Brisbane sees more humidity: the Queensland weather forecast 14 days points to afternoon storms inland, with highs of 30–33°C. Perth remains warm but stable at 30–35°C.
What does the longer-range outlook look like?
Beyond a week, models suggest a weak La Niña influence may prolong above-average rainfall for eastern NSW and Queensland. The Sydney weather 28 day forecast and 28 day long range weather forecast both indicate a gradual shift to more unsettled conditions from late February, while the 21 day weather forecast for Sydney shows a return to near-average temperatures. For the north, the Queensland weather forecast 30 days keeps the Monsoon trough active through early March.
Will there be heatwave conditions in the south?
Yes, for Adelaide and Melbourne Wednesday–Thursday. The Bureau’s heatwave severity map shows low-intensity heatwave for northern suburbs. Keep hydrated and check the severe weather warning page for updates.
When is the next cold front expected for southeast Australia?
A weak front crosses Victoria and southern NSW on Friday, bringing a temporary 5–8°C drop and gusty winds. Another stronger front may arrive around 22–24 February according to the NSW weather forecast 14 days.
How reliable is the 30-day outlook?
Long-range forecasts (e.g., the Sydney weather forecast 30 days) have lower skill beyond two weeks. For planning, use the 14-day outlook and update it every few days as models refine.
Sources
For more detailed forecasts, see our Australia weather hub, or check the Sydney 14-day forecast and stay up to date.